The Bitcoin flyaround
• About 40 percent of all Bitcoins are held by about 1,000 users. (Bloomberg)
• Could China be the one to tamp down the Bitcoin frenzy? (MIT Technology Review)
• A sign of the times: A gas station near Newark Airport reportedly has a Bitcoin A.T.M. (Twitter)
Mario Batali is the latest to face misconduct accusations.
He has stepped away from day-to-day operations of his food empire, Batali & Bastianich Hospitality Group in the wake of an Eater story in which four women described what they said were incidents of unwanted groping and sexual harassment.
From the article by Irene Plagianos and Kitty Greenwald:
Batali did not deny all the allegations, saying that they “match up” with ways he has behaved.
“I apologize to the people I have mistreated and hurt. Although the identities of most of the individuals mentioned in these stories have not been revealed to me, much of the behavior described does, in fact, match up with ways I have acted. That behavior was wrong and there are no excuses.
As recently as October, one of his employees had reported inappropriate behavior by the celebrity chef to human resources, according to Eater.
Mr. Batali is the best-known restaurateur to date to face misconduct allegations amid a sweeping wave of accusations against powerful men. (Another well-known chef, John Besh, stepped down in October after the publication of a lengthy investigation by the Times-Picayune of New Orleans.)
How the Republican tax plan tilted toward corporations.
When President Trump lays out on Wednesday how he sees the tax overhaul benefiting the middle class — as reported by Axios — his argument runs counter to how the legislation has actually evolved.
Damian Paletta of the WaPo has outlined the transformation of the tax plan and how it began to emphasize issues like a $1 trillion cut for businesses while scaling back tax cuts for middle-class families. From his piece:
“Fundamentally, the bill has been mislabeled. From a truth-in-advertising standpoint, it would have been a lot simpler if we just acknowledged reality on this bill, which is it’s fundamentally a corporate tax reduction and restructuring bill, period,” said Rep. Mark Sanford (R-S.C.).
One thing that lawmakers are trying to fix, according to Richard Rubin of the WSJ:
Some high-income business owners could face marginal tax rates exceeding 100 percent under the Senate’s tax bill, far beyond the listed rates in the Republican plan. That means a business owner’s next $100 in earnings, under certain circumstances, would require paying more than $100 in additional federal and state taxes.
More on the hits to New York: Wall Street is still lobbying against the current version of the bill, particularly on issues like limits to deductions for state and local taxes. “Over time this will be a major blow to keeping New York City the world’s undisputed financial capital,” Paul Taubman of PJT Partners told the FT.
If you want to understand Alabama and Roy Moore, read this.
This Op-Ed by the former NYT executive editor Howell Raines, an Alabama native, is worth noting as the state’s residents head to the polls tomorrow. At stake: whether the Republicans’ already-slim majority shrinks to just one seat.
From Mr. Raines’s piece:
Mr. Bishop, a veteran of the Battle of the Bulge, said he had drifted over to the Democrats when Franklin Roosevelt’s New Deal paid him and his jobless friends to work on the kind of infrastructure projects promised by candidate Trump. But he sees modern Democrats as detached from common folk. He’ll vote for Mr. Moore and intends to “sway” his wife from her plan to support Mr. Jones.
Who will follow Dina Powell out the door?
As the Trump administration closes in on its one-year anniversary, expect more officials to make their exits. Ms. Powell’s move is notable in that she is leaving on good terms with Mr. Trump, according to the WaPo.
Who else is on deck?
• Rex Tillerson could leave as secretary of state in February, according to Politico.
• The big question remains: When will Gary Cohn leave? He’s currently promoting the Republican tax plan, but will he depart afterward?
The net neutrality fight comes to a head this week.
The F.C.C. is scheduled to vote on Thursday on its proposal to roll back regulations. Expect protesters to keep up demonstrations against the move. “We want members of Congress to think of this as a third-rail issue that they have to support or else they will suffer in their elections,” Craig Aaron of the advocacy group Free Press told the NYT.
In the F.C.C.’s corner
Roger Stone, one of Mr. Trump’s most prominent advisers. From his op-ed in The Daily Caller:
But since the giant edge providers — companies like Google, Facebook, and Twitter — are content providers, they are exempt from “Net Neutrality” rules, free to restrain content by censoring out all conservative and libertarian views at will, without so much as an explanation to anyone why the objectionable views were banned.
Across the pond: Strong competition and regulation have generally prevented bad behavior from internet service providers in Europe — but telecommunications companies have managed to push boundaries in other ways, the NYT reports.
The Fed is likely to raise interest rates this week. What’s next?
Economists are starting to believe that the Fed may have to raise rates more quickly than expected after its meeting — the last to be chaired by Janet Yellen — on Wednesday. Binyamin Appelbaum of the NYT lays out many of the factors that Jerome Powell and the Fed will have to weigh, including strong economic growth and sluggish inflation.
Economists at Citigroup and JPMorgan Chase predict that interest rates across advanced economies will rise by at least 1 percent next year, in what Bloomberg says would be the biggest jump since 2006.
A lament for Ms. Yellen’s one term
From Amy Chozick’s article in the NYT on the departing Fed chair:
“Janet should’ve been renominated, as every past Fed chair has been renominated for nearly the last 40 years,” Senator Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts said in an interview. “But it’s not the first time and certainly not the last a highly qualified woman is passed over for a job she clearly deserves.”
“Rational exuberance is the stock market’s theme for 2018.”
That’s the prediction that David Kostin, the chief U.S. equity strategist, gave Barron’s for its look at what next year holds for the markets. The publication surveyed 10 strategists at major financial firms. Among the consensus predictions: a 7 percent gain in the S.&P. 500.
But Barron’s also offers some caveats:
The outlook isn’t entirely rosy: Interest rates are headed higher, stocks are expensive, and a tax overhaul could still stall or fail. But so long as corporate earnings keep climbing and the Federal Reserve raises rates in a measured way, the strategists see more room for gains.
Extra credit: Mr. Trump’s overall approval ratings may be low, but Americans surveyed by the WSJ and NBC News in late October gave the president a 42 percent approval rating for his handling of the economy. (WSJ)
How would a Fox-Disney deal remake Hollywood?
First, a status update: The two companies are still in advanced negotiations, and a transaction could be announced this week. The standard caveats of deal reporting, including that the talks could still fall apart, apply here.
If Disney succeeds in buying Fox, it would upend the decades-old status quo of the Hollywood movie system. But what happens with the 20th Century Fox movie studio is still in flux, according to Ben Fritz of the WSJ:
Some people close to the deal talks said 20th Century Fox could become a production label within the Walt Disney Studios, akin to Pixar and Marvel. In that scenario, Fox operations such as theatrical and home-video distribution would likely be cut back, resulting in job losses among the studio’s approximately 3,200 employees.
The M. & A. flyaround
• In selling itself to Apple, Shazam would formally become a part of the company that made it famous. But the sale price will likely be far less than the $1 billion valuation of Shazam’s most recent fund-raising round. (NYT)
• Two hospital networks, Ascension and Providence St. Joseph Health, are in talks about a potential merger, which if completed would leap past HCA Healthcare to become the country’s biggest hospital operator, according to unidentified people. (WSJ)
• GGP, the mall owner, has rejected Brookfield Property Partners’s $14.8 billion takeover bid, though talks between the two will continue, according to unidentified people. (Reuters)
A serial acquirer is in trouble after accounting issues.
Shares in Steinhoff International, a retailer that went on a debt-heavy buying spree in recent years, plunged 84 percent (wiping out nearly $12 billion in market value) over the past week after the company disclosed potential accounting irregularities. The company has hired Moelis & Company and Alixpartners to help with “liquidity management and operational measures.”
The bigger picture
David Fickling of Gadfly writes that there’s a lesson here for other inveterate corporate deal makers — notably HNA of China. From his piece:
There’s a simple reason that few companies spend long on the sort of shopping spree that Steinhoff and HNA followed in recent years: Takeovers tend to destroy shareholder value.
The Speed Read
• Vinnie Viola, the founder of the trading firm Virtu Financial and once Mr. Trump’s nominee for secretary of the Army, is close to selling his 80,000-square-foot Manhattan townhouse for about $80 million, in what would be the highest-priced home sale in New York City history. (WSJ)
• During a conference call with a digital media company, three Snap executives who thought they were on mute were overheard talking about their weekend plans, including hiring prostitutes. (NY Post)
• France is attempting a sweeping national rebranding, changing labor laws and slashing a wealth tax, as it competes to be Europe’s financial capital. (NYT)
• Two organizations founded by Charles Koch have been working in Silicon Valley to advance the argument that innovators are most likely to flourish when legislators and regulators leave them alone. (Politico)
• Banking executives in London say that they would halt, or even reverse, moves out of London if there were an 11th-hour deal to keep Britain in the single market. (FT)
• Tougher bank regulations, ultralow interest rates and low market volatility have raised the prospect of a decline in the Swiss private bank. (FT)
• The recommendation last month that Norway’s sovereign wealth fund sell its oil and gas stocks is pushing Norwegian policymakers to grapple with the question of what the fund and the country should stand for. (FT)
• The government of Qatar and BAE Systems have finalized a roughly $6.7 billion deal for 24 combat jets, training and related items. (WSJ)
• The C.E.O. of Volkswagen said that Germany should consider phasing out subsidies for diesel cars, a startling change of position by the automaker largely responsible for diesel’s popularity in Europe. (NYT)
• Man Group will market a new quantitative hedge fund to wealthy Chinese investors, becoming the first foreign investment company to start an onshore hedge fund there. (FT)
• Loyal customers of Starwood feel uneasy about the takeover by “big, beige” Marriott, which faces the challenge of keeping Starwood’s “cool” culture — its customers. (NYT)
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